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google-sheetsregressionforecasting

Forecasting one month data in Google Sheets


I am trying to forecast % of DAU users based on the adoption rate of the iOS14 operating system. For example, I have 8 days date of both the adoption rate (in table 1) % DAU users for the first 8 days, but I would like to calculate 30 days (until end of May) forward.

Table 1: Adoption Rate

Date Adoption rate
April 26, 2021 0.70%
April 27, 2021 2.07%
April 28, 2021 3.71%
April 29, 2021 4.77%
April 30, 2021 6.16%
May 1, 2021 6.88%
May 2, 2021 7.15%
May 3, 2021 7.66%

Table 2: % DAU

Date Adoption rate
April 26, 2021 100.00%
April 27, 2021 92.27%
April 28, 2021 93.21%
April 29, 2021 91.39%
April 30, 2021 90.32%
May 1, 2021 83.62%
May 2, 2021 81.60%
May 3, 2021 80.23%

Can anyone point me in the right direction? Thank you in advance.


Solution

  • Perhaps the TREND function can help you, applied to just table 2?

    TREND(known_data_y, [known_data_x], [new_data_x], [b])

    https://support.google.com/docs/answer/3094263?hl=en-GB