I am trying to forecast % of DAU users based on the adoption rate of the iOS14 operating system. For example, I have 8 days date of both the adoption rate (in table 1) % DAU users for the first 8 days, but I would like to calculate 30 days (until end of May) forward.
Table 1: Adoption Rate
Date | Adoption rate |
---|---|
April 26, 2021 | 0.70% |
April 27, 2021 | 2.07% |
April 28, 2021 | 3.71% |
April 29, 2021 | 4.77% |
April 30, 2021 | 6.16% |
May 1, 2021 | 6.88% |
May 2, 2021 | 7.15% |
May 3, 2021 | 7.66% |
Table 2: % DAU
Date | Adoption rate |
---|---|
April 26, 2021 | 100.00% |
April 27, 2021 | 92.27% |
April 28, 2021 | 93.21% |
April 29, 2021 | 91.39% |
April 30, 2021 | 90.32% |
May 1, 2021 | 83.62% |
May 2, 2021 | 81.60% |
May 3, 2021 | 80.23% |
Can anyone point me in the right direction? Thank you in advance.
Perhaps the TREND
function can help you, applied to just table 2?
TREND(known_data_y, [known_data_x], [new_data_x], [b])