I have a dataframe :
> dsa[1:20]
Ordered.Item date Qty
1: 2011001FAM002025001 2019-06-01 19440.00
2: 2011001FAM002025001 2019-05-01 24455.53
3: 2011001FAM002025001 2019-04-01 16575.06
4: 2011001FAM002025001 2019-03-01 880.00
5: 2011001FAM002025001 2019-02-01 5000.00
6: 2011001FAM002035001 2019-04-01 175.00
7: 2011001FAM004025001 2019-06-01 2000.00
8: 2011001FAM004025001 2019-05-01 2500.00
9: 2011001FAM004025001 2019-04-01 3000.00
10: 2011001FAM012025001 2019-06-01 1200.00
11: 2011001FAM012025001 2019-04-01 1074.02
12: 2011001FAM022025001 2019-06-01 350.00
13: 2011001FAM022025001 2019-05-01 110.96
14: 2011001FAM022025001 2019-04-01 221.13
15: 2011001FAM022035001 2019-06-01 500.00
16: 2011001FAM022035001 2019-05-01 18.91
17: 2011001FAM027025001 2019-06-01 210.00
18: 2011001FAM028025001 2019-04-01 327.21
19: 2011001FBK005035001 2019-05-01 500.00
20: 2011001FBL001025001 2019-06-01 15350.00
>str(dsa)
Classes ‘data.table’ and 'data.frame': 830 obs. of 3 variables:
$ Ordered.Item: Factor w/ 435 levels "2011001FAM002025001",..: 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 3 3 4 ...
$ date : Date, format: "2019-06-01" "2019-05-01" "2019-04-01" ...
$ Qty : num 19440 24456 16575 880 5000 ...
- attr(*, ".internal.selfref")=<externalptr>
this data contains sku and it's quantity sold per month
Because i plan to use ARIMA forecasting i am trying to convert the dataframe to time series but i get a weird output
> timesr<-ts(data=dsa,start=c(12,2018),frequency = 12)
> head(timesr)
Ordered.Item date Qty
[1,] 1 18048 19440.00
[2,] 1 18017 24455.53
[3,] 1 17987 16575.06
[4,] 1 17956 880.00
[5,] 1 17928 5000.00
[6,] 2 17987 175.00
You might try something like this for your sku ARIMA modeling.
# Create dataframe
dsa = read.table(text = '
ID Ordered.Item date Qty
1 2011001FAM002025001 2019-06-01 19440.00
2 2011001FAM002025001 2019-05-01 24455.53
3 2011001FAM002025001 2019-04-01 16575.06
4 2011001FAM002025001 2019-03-01 880.00
5 2011001FAM002025001 2019-02-01 5000.00
6 2011001FAM002035001 2019-04-01 175.00
7 2011001FAM004025001 2019-06-01 2000.00
8 2011001FAM004025001 2019-05-01 2500.00
9 2011001FAM004025001 2019-04-01 3000.00
10 2011001FAM012025001 2019-06-01 1200.00
11 2011001FAM012025001 2019-04-01 1074.02
12 2011001FAM022025001 2019-06-01 350.00
13 2011001FAM022025001 2019-05-01 110.96
14 2011001FAM022025001 2019-04-01 221.13
15 2011001FAM022035001 2019-06-01 500.00
16 2011001FAM022035001 2019-05-01 18.91
17 2011001FAM027025001 2019-06-01 210.00
18 2011001FAM028025001 2019-04-01 327.21
19 2011001FBK005035001 2019-05-01 500.00
20 2011001FBL001025001 2019-06-01 15350.00
', header = T)
dsa$ID <- NULL
# Reshape
dsa2 <- reshape(data=dsa,idvar="date", v.names = "Qty", timevar = "Ordered.Item", direction="wide")
dsa2 <- dsa2[order(as.Date(dsa2$date, "%Y-%m-%d")),] # Sort by date
# Predict for sku 2011001FAM002025001
fit <- auto.arima(ts(dsa2$Qty.2011001FAM002025001))
fcast <- forecast(fit, h=60) # forecast 60 periods ahead
plot(fcast)