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excelregressioncurve-fittingtrendline

Accuracy of the polynomial trendline in excel


There is no change in trendline for 4th, 5th and 6th order polynomial trendlines for the given data. I think this is because of the 15-digits precision limit in excel which affects the calculation for polynomial trendline.

I would like to verify the accuracy of polynomial trendline in excel for the following data

X-values: 1.00 1.00 2.00 10.00 23.00 23.00 68.00

Y-values: 38.32 13.76 70.74 70.74 10 10 523.41

Is there any standard or benchmark available to verify the correctness of trendline?

trendline


Solution

  • Finally found the reason why there is no change for 4th, 5th and 6th order polynomial trendlines

    For drawing a 4th order polynomial curve, excel needs 5 data points.

    Similarly, for drawing 5th order curve, excel needs 6 data points but as we can see there is only 5 data points in the chart. So the curve for 5th order polynomial appears similar to the 4th order polynomial

    Similarly, for drawing 6th order curve, excel needs 7 data points but as we can see there is only 5 data points. So the curve for 6th order polynomial appears similar to the 4th order polynomial