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Linear Regression Training with timeseries date


I am new to sklearn. I have an assignment to do Linear Regression, Logistic Regression, etc. I am trying to create data to compare the results. My data looks like:

Closing_Price   Daily_Returns   Daily_Returns_1 Daily_Returns_2 Daily_Returns_3 Daily_Returns_4 Daily_Returns_5
Date                            
1980-12-22  0.53    0.058269    0.040822    0.042560    0.021979    -0.085158   -0.040005
1980-12-23  0.55    0.037041    0.058269    0.040822    0.042560    0.021979    -0.085158
1980-12-24  0.58    0.053110    0.037041    0.058269    0.040822    0.042560    0.021979
1980-12-26  0.63    0.082692    0.053110    0.037041    0.058269    0.040822    0.042560
1980-12-29  0.64    0.015748    0.082692    0.053110    0.037041    0.058269    0.040822

What I want to do is use sklearn linear regression for start to calculate and plot the results along with Daily Returns. This is what I am doing:

from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
from sklearn.linear_model import LinearRegression as lr
from sklearn.linear_model import LogisticRegression as lor
X = apple['Closing_Price'].values.reshape(-1,1)
y = apple['Daily_Returns'].values.reshape(-1,1)
X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(X,y,test_size = 0.2)
LinReg = lr()
LinReg.fit(X_train,y_train)
LinRegPred = LinReg.predict(X_test)

My question: Is it possible to create a 2D array with Column 1 as the index values from the dataframe of the original data set and column 2 as the predicted Linear Regression results?

Where apple.index :

DatetimeIndex(['1980-12-22', '1980-12-23', '1980-12-24', '1980-12-26',
               '1980-12-29', '1980-12-30', '1980-12-31', '1981-01-02',
               '1981-01-05', '1981-01-06',
               ...
               '2019-05-22', '2019-05-23', '2019-05-24', '2019-05-28',
               '2019-05-29', '2019-05-30', '2019-05-31', '2019-06-03',
               '2019-06-04', '2019-06-05'],
              dtype='datetime64[ns]', name='Date', length=9695, freq=None)

Solution

  • you could make the train_test_split rather on the data frame

    from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
    from sklearn.linear_model import LinearRegression as lr
    from sklearn.linear_model import LogisticRegression as lor
    import numpy as np
    
    data_train, data_test,  = train_test_split(apple,test_size = 0.2)
    X_train = data_train['Closing_Price'].values.reshape(-1,1)
    y_train = data_train['Daily_Returns'].values.reshape(-1,1)
    X_test = data_test['Closing_Price'].values.reshape(-1,1)
    y_test = data_test['Daily_Returns'].values.reshape(-1,1)
    LinReg = lr()
    LinReg.fit(X_train,y_train)
    LinRegPred = LinReg.predict(X_test)
    
    

    and then you can just acess your index and creating the 2D array as follows :

    from datetime import datetime
    predictedWithIndexes = [list(index.astype(str)), list(LinRegPred)]
    pdi = pd.DataFrame(predictedWithIndexes)
    pdi = pdi.T
    pdi.columns = ['Date','Predicted_Linear_Regression']
    pdi['Predicted_Linear_Regression'] = pdi['Predicted_Linear_Regression'].astype(float)
    pdi['Date'] = pd.to_datetime(pdi['Date'].str[0])
    
    

    I wish that I have answered your question