I am new to timeseries forecasting by groups.
I have a large daily timeseries dataset for which I need to do forecasting.
I did a lot of googling and tried a lot of different ways with no success.
date country device os browser visits clicks logins sale
7/29/2018 USA desktop Windows Firefox 3046 1523 762 381
7/29/2018 USA mobile Windows Firefox 6546 3273 1637 818
7/29/2018 USA tablet Windows Firefox 864 432 216 108
7/30/2018 USA desktop Windows Firefox 11004 5502 2751 1376
7/30/2018 USA mobile Windows Firefox 7938 3969 1985 992
7/30/2018 USA tablet Windows Firefox 1114 557 279 139
7/31/2018 USA desktop Windows Firefox 10814 5407 2704 1352
7/31/2018 USA mobile Windows Firefox 7560 3780 1890 945
7/31/2018 USA tablet Windows Firefox 984 492 246 123
This is an example dataset I generated as I could not find any other open dataset that could properly represent my problem. (apologies if the sample numbers are bad)
I wish to forecast daily 'visits,'clicks', 'logins', 'sales' for the next 'n' days on this dataset by 'country','device','os' and 'browser'
Any help would be highly appreciated.
This is exactly the use-case for which we are developing the tsibble
and fable
packages. tsibble
is on CRAN (https://cran.r-project.org/package=tsibble), while fable
is still only on github (https://github.com/tidyverts/fable).
You could do something like this to forecast clicks
by country
, device
, os
and browser
:
library(tsibble)
library(fable)
mydata <- tsibble(dataframe, key = c(country, device, os, browser), index=date)
mydata %>%
model(ETS(clicks)) %>%
forecast()